Which changes remain after correcting clear errors?
The analysis copy applies documented corrections, reranks all 71 country series, and tests how the selected changes depend on article counts and outlet weights. Event statistics quantify the observed patterns; they remain exploratory because these episodes were discovered in the same outcomes.
What changed substantively
Several clear event patterns remain
Liberia’s February 2025 aid decline remains −92.9 points after correction; the Philippines’ April 2014 defense rise remains +40.9. Kyrgyzstan’s July / October 2015 policy changes remain −53.3 / +59.9. These retain their direction under the joint n20 and outlet checks.
The one-article Mali and Malawi aid extremes disappear entirely: their corrected focal topic counts are zero, so tone is undefined.
Weighting and persistence change the interpretation
Egypt’s December 2014 defense change is −21.2 when article-weighted but +32.2 across the two shared outlets weighted equally. Uzbekistan’s May 2020 aid rise is +16.5 pooled, yet falls to −0.7 when kun.uz is removed.
The Philippines’ immediate rise is consistent across its four shared outlets; its longer-window trend-departure interval includes zero. Ukraine’s January 2025 aid decline remains negative across all three exploratory time-series specifications. These are different estimands, not contradictory answers.
Count thresholds crossed with outlet deletion
| Minimum focal / pooled-baseline articles | Full-count support + stable outlet directions of 48 audited episodes | Every outlet deletion also retains minimum count of 48 audited episodes |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | 27 | 15 |
| 20 | 15 | 13 |
| 50 | 13 | 1 |
At n20, 15 cases pass the full-count rule and 13 pass the stricter joint check. At n50, 13 pass the full-count rule but only India’s November 2016 episode retains 50 articles after every deletion. A failed support screen is not proof that no event occurred.
Corrected peaks, dips and outlet sensitivity
| Episode / event | Original Δ | Corrected Δ | Corrected N focal / prior3 | Pass count screens 5 / 10 / 20 / 50 | Adjusted outlet deletion range | Result |
|---|
All changes are net-tone points. Alternative labels and exclusion of Balkan Insight are separate sensitivity scenarios, not silently folded into the main copy. Entire-period rankings are available for each threshold, with count-only and verified-feed screens. Newly promoted extremes remain unvalidated article-reading candidates.
48-episode comparison CSV · Every outlet deletion · New / lost top-20 ranks · Global weighting & threshold comparisons
Statistical approaches now run on the major episodes
Paired outlet contrasts: give equal weight to each outlet covering the topic in both periods, then resample those paired outlet changes 10,000 times. The ranges summarize sensitivity to the observed outlet set. With few, dependent outlets, they are not calibrated population confidence intervals.
Event month versus anchor: The selected peak can follow an earlier policy onset. Liberia’s selected February 2025 dip uses the January 20 policy anchor for its longer-window analysis; Ukraine’s selected October 2023 episode uses the September 30 funding-law anchor, so its first three post months are October–December. Each expandable timing note records this distinction.
Interrupted time series: 11 of the 17 adjusted cases meet the date and data-support conditions. Models use up to 12 months before and after a documented event, exclude its mixed event month, and compare post-event months 1–3 with the extrapolated pre-event trend. They require at least nine pre and six post months. Calendar-lag HAC(2), HAC(3) and annual-harmonic alternatives are retained. Late events, unclear onset and gaps receive explicit “not estimated” statuses.
| Episode | Pooled Δ | Equal-outlet Δ [resampling range] | Shared outlets directions | Months 1–3 departure [nominal HAC interval] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E40 · Uzbekistan 2020-05 · Aid Timing & interpretationCOVID-19 and Sardoba flood assistance announcements and handover May 1 dam collapse is verified, but the US aid pledge/handovers and pandemic announcements have separate reported dates. A single US aid intervention date is not independently established. Anchor: unresolved; multiple_aid_events_no_verified_single_us_onset. Model status: not_estimable_no_single_dated_event. | +16.5 | +1.8 [-10.2, 14.8] | 7 4 rise / 3 fall / 0 flat | Not estimated no single dated event |
| E39 · Ukraine 2021-09 · Aid Timing & interpretationBiden-Zelensky commitments, pandemic aid and Hoverla project launch dominate a positive month Biden-Zelensky summit anchors a bundle of September security/humanitarian commitments and later project launch. Afghanistan news and the later Russian invasion confound longer comparisons. Anchor: 2021-09-01; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | +53.0 | +56.9 [46.4, 70.7] | 5 5 rise / 0 fall / 0 flat | +25.2 [-2.4, 52.8] 24 fitted months |
| E38 · Ukraine 2023-10 · Aid Timing & interpretationUS congressional funding uncertainty and aid-package bargaining Temporary-funding law anchors the September/October bargaining sequence. October 20 supplemental request and October 25 Speaker election overlap; this is not one isolated aid withdrawal. Anchor: 2023-09-30; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | -19.7 | -20.0 [-48.0, 3.5] | 5 1 rise / 4 fall / 0 flat | -25.1 [-55.0, 4.8] 24 fitted months |
| E34 · Ukraine 2025-01 · Aid Timing & interpretationJanuary 2025 foreign-aid pause: anticipation, stop-work notices and local consequences Aid-pause announcement and January 24 implementation are one January policy sequence; monthly data cannot separate their effects. Anchor: 2025-01-20; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | -51.1 | -53.2 [-69.8, -38.8] | 5 0 rise / 5 fall / 0 flat | -56.9 [-90.0, -23.7] 24 fitted months |
| E37 · Liberia 2025-02 · Aid Timing & interpretationUSAID freeze and project cancellations replace funding/launch coverage with loss, adaptation and accountability debate Use the January official onset for time-series analysis, although the selected trough is February. February cancellation and local consequences are subsequent stages. Anchor: 2025-01-20; verified_primary. Model status: not_estimable_gap_in_tone_series. | -92.9 | -103.7 [-150.0, -58.4] | 8 1 rise / 7 fall / 0 flat | Not estimated gap in tone series |
| E41 · Kyrgyzstan 2015-07 · Foreign policy Timing & interpretationAskarov human-rights award dispute and termination of US–Kyrgyz cooperation agreement Award ceremony anchors the dispute; July termination decision and August effective termination are separate stages. October reengagement is an overlapping later event. Anchor: 2015-07-14; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | -53.3 | -50.0 [-76.7, -30.6] | 5 0 rise / 5 fall / 0 flat | +14.0 [-19.8, 47.9] 24 fitted months |
| E43 · Kyrgyzstan 2015-10 · Foreign policy Timing & interpretationDiplomatic re-engagement: new US ambassador and Kerry visit to Bishkek Late-month Kerry visit; new-ambassador coverage occurs earlier in October. July dispute is in the preceding-three-month baseline, so rebound and new-visit coverage are inseparable at monthly resolution. Anchor: 2015-10-31; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | +59.9 | +55.8 [36.6, 78.3] | 6 6 rise / 0 fall / 0 flat | +23.1 [-18.9, 65.0] 24 fitted months |
| E35 · India 2016-11 · Foreign policy Timing & interpretationTrump election expectations and reassurance about India–US ties Election information event, not inauguration or demonstrated administration performance. Inauguration follows in January 2017. Anchor: 2016-11-08; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | +18.1 | +8.4 [-4.0, 18.8] | 7 5 rise / 2 fall / 0 flat | +0.6 [-7.9, 9.1] 24 fitted months |
| E42 · Belarus 2021-09 · Foreign policy Timing & interpretationAnti-US official rhetoric amid Belarusian repression and changing outlet composition Anti-US rhetoric, prosecutions, migration and Afghanistan reporting mix with outlet repression. No single September US policy event is identifiable. Anchor: unresolved; mixed_events_and_media_disruption. Model status: not_estimable_no_single_dated_event. | -43.6 | -32.9 [-62.8, -6.0] | 5 1 rise / 4 fall / 0 flat | Not estimated no single dated event |
| E44 · Kenya 2024-05 · Foreign policy Timing & interpretationRuto state visit: investment, education and strategic partnership announcements State visit follows May 20 Atlanta trip; investment and security announcements are commitments rather than realized benefits. Kenya protests in June are a subsequent confounder. Anchor: 2024-05-23; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | +43.1 | +54.8 [19.0, 95.5] | 4 4 rise / 0 fall / 0 flat | +6.9 [-25.2, 39.0] 24 fitted months |
| E47 · Philippines 2014-04 · Defense Timing & interpretationEDCA agreement and Obama alliance assurances, alongside sovereignty criticism Late-April EDCA signature and Obama visit; negotiations already received coverage. Monthly estimates combine anticipation and agreement/visit news. Anchor: 2014-04-28; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | +40.9 | +46.6 [29.9, 65.9] | 4 4 rise / 0 fall / 0 flat | +17.5 [-0.8, 35.7] 24 fitted months |
| E36 · Egypt 2014-12 · Defense Timing & interpretationCIA torture report release and international reactions dominate a mixed Egyptian defense month CIA report release is an information shock about earlier conduct; Egyptian aid rules and regional defense news also change. Anchor: 2014-12-09; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | -21.2 | +32.2 [-15.5, 80.0] | 2 1 rise / 1 fall / 0 flat | -8.9 [-17.8, 0.0] 24 fitted months |
| E46 · Turkey 2014-12 · Defense Timing & interpretationCIA torture disclosure receives Turkish accountability framing, with translation and label failures Same CIA disclosure event as Egypt, with Turkish domestic accountability framing. Frozen/live membership differs and source translations contain identified false US relevance. Anchor: 2014-12-09; verified_primary. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | -38.9 | -42.1 [-52.6, -32.4] | 5 0 rise / 5 fall / 0 flat | -13.4 [-33.2, 6.5] 24 fitted months |
| E45 · Serbia 2020-01 · Defense Timing & interpretationSoleimani killing, Iran escalation and disputes about US justification January 3 Baghdad strike; US Department of Defense statement is dated January 2 US time. Subsequent Iranian retaliation, regional news and pandemic disruption overlap. Anchor: 2020-01-03; verified_primary_timezone_noted. Model status: exploratory_model_fitted. | -44.1 | -10.9 [-48.4, 57.1] | 3 1 rise / 2 fall / 0 flat | -8.4 [-35.3, 18.4] 24 fitted months |
| E21 · Mali 2021-09 · Defense Timing & interpretationBlocked Mali aircraft export license provokes criticism alongside US-supported training The export-license blockage predates the September peak and appears in August reporting. September editorials and training are distinct events; no defensible single onset is assigned. Anchor: unresolved; onset_unresolved_preexisting. Model status: not_estimable_no_single_dated_event. | -59.9 | -44.2 [-66.7, 0.0] | 3 0 rise / 2 fall / 1 flat | Not estimated no single dated event |
| E48 · Morocco 2026-04 · Defense Timing & interpretationMorocco-US defense consultations and ceasefire reporting coexist with criticism of the Iran war Defense consultations April 14–16 are reported in an official military communiqué republished by MAP/SNRT. Iran-war and ceasefire news coexist; only May/June full post months are observed. Anchor: 2026-04-14; official_statement_republished. Model status: not_estimable_insufficient_pre_or_post_months. | +39.5 | +48.7 [23.4, 84.4] | 4 4 rise / 0 fall / 0 flat | Not estimated insufficient pre or post months |
| E24 · Angola 2026-06 · Defense Timing & interpretationAngola–Ohio National Guard partnership activation and AFRICOM conference Late-June partnership activation; April letter of intent is a prior stage. No full post-event month exists before the panel ends in June 2026. Anchor: 2026-06-29; verified_primary. Model status: not_estimable_insufficient_pre_or_post_months. | +62.2 | +45.8 [41.7, 50.0] | 2 2 rise / 0 fall / 0 flat | Not estimated insufficient pre or post months |
The final column is a descriptive segmented-trend association, not a causal effect. Its nominal 95% interval is not adjusted for discovery from peaks. Competing events, short series, changing outlet composition and uneven audit intensity remain limitations. Raw and adjusted fits, longer post windows, pretrends, lag and seasonal alternatives are supplied rather than chosen by favorable results.
All event contrasts · All time-series specifications · Dated event register · Statistical protocol · Method notes and sources
What changed, and what remains uncertain
Record corrections
43 decisions meet the conservative main-ledger criterion; 42 transfer to reconciled frozen source-month-topic cells. 1 remain deferred in the main copy because the live and frozen label vectors differ. The original record and replacement are retained.
Unambiguous relevance and topic errors are distinguished from evaluative disagreements. Alternative judgments remain in a separately named ambiguity scenario. Database records were not edited. The reusable live article-level copy applies all 43 clear record decisions; its frozen-transfer column identifies the one decision deferred only in the frozen aggregate copy.
Outlet geography and denominators
Nouvel Obs is removed from Senegal throughout the observed period, supported by its Paris publisher address. Summed news totals across the assigned sources reconcile with the frozen country totals in all 174 months, permitting subtraction of Nouvel Obs from both numerator and denominator. France is outside this 71-country panel.
Balkan Insight’s Serbia/Kosovo assignment includes an intentional override; excluding it is a separate sensitivity case. A country label still describes publication geography, not event location.
Snapshot limitation: 8 of 1138 audited source-month-topic cells have different live and frozen label vectors. Matching counts cannot prove frozen article identity because those exports contain no IDs. The main analysis uses conservative aggregate transfers; separately named live-window comparisons show the effect of unresolved cells. These are partial audited corrections, not a fully relabeled corpus.
Inspect the 43 main record decisions
| Record | Decision / application | Old → new | Reason and evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 602c1c8445b9d5aabba69b91 Ukraine · 2018-06-04 interfax.com.ua | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Local Ukrainian Armed Forces demining bulletin; the full available Russian body contains no US government actor. Ukrainian military is incorrectly treated as US military.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Вооруженных сил Украины full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 712; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 602cab6545b9d5aabba800ab Ukraine · 2018-06-20 interfax.com.ua | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Donbas ceasefire violations and Ukrainian casualties; the full available body identifies Ukrainian forces, not US forces.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: украинских военнослужащих full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1340; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 602c3b1a45b9d5aabba6ea97 Ukraine · 2018-03-31 interfax.com.ua | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Local Ukrainian battlefield bulletin with no US government actor in the full available Russian body.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Вооруженных сил Украины full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1489; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 62fbed7eae44c313f016ad29 Turkey · 2014-12-09 t24.com.tr | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | The original Turkish article concerns Erdogan, Ak Saray and Turkish army property. Its translated White House/Gazan Army wording does not establish any US actor.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Türk Silahlı Kuvvetleri full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1966; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 63e6ca7006705d219035b9c5 Mali · 2022-11-27 news.abamako.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | France-funded NGOs and the Mali-France aid dispute; no US government actor occurs in the full available French body.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: La France regrette full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1316; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a57ff6d87d0adaf3f18d2ef Malawi · 2025-06-10 247malawi.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Generic community-led development study in Malawi; full available English text never identifies US government or USAID involvement.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Community-led development empowers local communities full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1448; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 68b8987793ac3030081a8671 Liberia · 2025-02-05 inquirernewspaper.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Liberian electricity-financing ambition involving unspecified international partners. US appears only as currency, not a government donor.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: mobilizing US$2.1 billion from international partners full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 3783; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 68b88b662de65b162d9568b1 Liberia · 2025-02-17 liberianobserver.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | The named lender is the OPEC Fund. United States dollars is a denomination, not a US government actor.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: OPEC Fund for International Development full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1616; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a1dab315fead9f5fbd114b8 Morocco · 2026-03-05 alyaoum24.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Domestic Moroccan energy-ministry reassurance. Full available Arabic body identifies no US government or US military actor.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: وزارة الانتقال الطاقي والتنمية المستدامة full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1110; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 620dc97f61c660dd58f95e70 Belarus · 2021-09-02 novychas.by | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_policy; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Belarusian Justice Ministry and domestic lawyers; no US government actor appears in the full available Belarusian body.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Міністэрства юстыцыі full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 2441; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a5af10d4fe01aae91b79dc7 Libya · 2018-07-18 almarsad.co | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Libyan displaced-person housing and the Central Bank branch in Al Bayda. The Arabic place name was misleadingly rendered as White House.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: البيضاء full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1040; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 651f67a688fdd117e189f3d7 Mauritania · 2018-05-07 alakhbar.info | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_policy; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | A businessman contracts private Kroll/Havas services. US company nationality does not establish US government involvement in this complete available Arabic record.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Kroll full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 682; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6361c8cfeefc7490842341d0 Uzbekistan · 2020-05-12 fergana.ru | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Turkmen diaspora residents in the US raise private relief funds; the named state actors blocking relief are Turkmen, with no US government role.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: собрали около $5 тыс. full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 2213; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 63c23e1b2ef5e2934317dc98 Ukraine · 2022-12-02 interfax.com.ua | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Interview about the private AIDS Healthcare Foundation in Ukraine. Full available Ukrainian interview contains no US government donor or actor; organization nationality is insufficient.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: AHF Ukraine full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 10636; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 64f774a5bed4296e79dd7491 Ukraine · 2022-12-29 kyivindependent.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | The available English report identifies the United Kingdom as the donor and Ben Wallace as its minister, with no US government role.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: £2.3 billion full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1169; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 61c697622a62fd884446e259 Bangladesh · 2015-09-28 jugantor.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | The original Bangla article reports French President Hollande increasing French aid; no US government actor appears.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: ফ্রান্সের প্রেসিডেন্ট full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1160; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 61cb3ec0048471bb7edf2906 Bangladesh · 2015-09-23 prothomalo.com | exclude_usg deferred_unreconciled_source_month_topic | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | The entire short available Bangla record concerns an EU Brussels refugee-aid summit, with no US government actor. Decision is limited to the stored classifier input.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: ইউরোপীয় ইউনিয়নের full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 297; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6361b44d624259c4d91be1de Uzbekistan · 2020-05-23 anhor.uz | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Private US religious/charitable organizations supply relief. Full available Russian record identifies no US government funding or facilitation.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: неправительственными организациями full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1303; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a5bdf773069f141dcaf6758 Libya · 2018-07-23 almarsad.co | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | UN humanitarian access in southwest Syria and Russian/Syrian arrangements; no US government actor in the full available Arabic body.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: الأمم المتحدة full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1813; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a58506e8e9194c59b3e89c8 Malawi · 2025-04-23 maravipost.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Full WHO-sourced report discusses global donor cuts and maternal mortality without identifying US government or USAID. Contextual association cannot supply a missing US target.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Sourced from WHO full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 7822; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a5b9b723325190dc9d97ab1 Libya · 2018-09-13 almarsad.co | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | General Electric commercial electricity contracts in Iraq. Private US corporate nationality is not US government involvement.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: جنرال إلكتريك full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1164; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 61c681a52a62fd884446876c Bangladesh · 2015-08-17 jugantor.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Bangladesh all-donor commitment/disbursement totals and World Bank lending. US appears only in dollar denomination in the complete available Bangla text.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: মার্কিন ডলার full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1548; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 61ce2287690ef5c2b2e4b080 Bangladesh · 2015-08-17 dailyjanakantha.com | exclude_usg applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Bangladesh all-donor disbursements and World Bank project finance. No US government donor is named in the full available Bangla body.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: বিশ্বব্যাংক full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 2143; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 65f05e4923ab28157a7cadf8 Dominican Republic · 2014-04-16 listindiario.com | reclassify_topic applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: Yes; event: -999; sentiment: neutral | Obama and Biden announce domestic US job-training grants in Pennsylvania, not foreign aid.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Pennsylvania full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 918; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 65f03b0c23ab28157a7c5aea Dominican Republic · 2014-01-30 listindiario.com | reclassify_topic applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: Yes; event: -999; sentiment: neutral | The full Spanish article concerns domestic US farm subsidies and SNAP provisions in the farm bill, not a US foreign-aid event.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Programa de Asistencia en Suplemento de Nutrición full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 3567; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6810fffdd8f1d95eadded61a Ukraine · 2025-01-29 interfax.com.ua | reclassify_topic applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: Yes; event: -999; sentiment: neutral | The stored Ukrainian report concerns rescission of domestic OMB memo M-25-13, not rescission of the separate foreign-assistance freeze. Stored record is short and explicitly developing.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: М-25-13 full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 537; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 68b7441ba1c6d10030a14343 Mexico · 2021-05-02 milenio.com | reclassify_topic applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: neutral → relevance: Yes; event: foreign_policy; sentiment: neutral | The full Spanish article concerns US shrimp import certification and an export embargo; no foreign-aid transfer or program is reported.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: certificación de camarón full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 3574; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 68b8985d93ac3030081a8633 Liberia · 2025-02-06 inquirernewspaper.com | reclassify_sentiment applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: negative → relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive | Despite a shutdown headline, the full English body celebrates a completed community-health project, its results and US partnership, explicitly thanking the US government. It does not connect closure to the 2025 freeze.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: extended sincere thanks to the US Government full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 4855; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a5ba57719c5e79c874794f4 Libya · 2018-08-25 almarsad.co | reclassify_sentiment applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: positive → relevance: Yes; event: foreign_aid; sentiment: negative | The Arabic original directly condemns US aid cuts as political blackmail and an ethical/strategic failure. The positive label and cheering translation reverse the original evaluation.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: للابتزاز السياسي full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1653; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 629e6356808e177faba767ab Turkey · 2014-12-26 sabah.com.tr | reclassify_sentiment applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: positive → relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: negative | Full Turkish body alleges wrongful CIA detention, torture and obstruction of redress. The article frames the CIA being saved from liability as an injustice, not praise.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: işkence full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 5507; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 6a18aa87c65f4bf7c033c82f Morocco · 2024-07-11 lakome2.com | reclassify_sentiment applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_policy; sentiment: positive → relevance: Yes; event: foreign_policy; sentiment: negative | The full Arabic article frames Biden misnaming Zelensky as Putin as another setback and discusses doubts about mental capacity and calls to withdraw; a positive US-president evaluation is unsupported.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: في انتكاسة جديدة full_available_original_body_read: True; original_body_characters: 1055; method: AI-assisted reading of the full available stored original body; multilingual interpretation, not independent human/native-language adjudication.; publisher_completeness_verified: The available original text directly identifies the actual actor, topic or evaluative polarity; no external event association is used to supply absent content. Article |
| 61a716a266a9e77891c8fa30 El Salvador · 2018-09-08 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: El Gobierno de Estados Unidos mantuvo varias reuniones secretas con militares rebeldes de Venezuela contrarios full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 3055; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a6821366a9e77891c74003 El Salvador · 2018-09-11 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: "Los ataques del 11 de septiembre fueron un shock, pero no deberían haber sido una sorpresa". "La rama ejecuti full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 7935; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a70a0b66a9e77891c8ce2d El Salvador · 2018-08-02 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Los diputados Mauricio Vargas (ARENA), Antonio Almendáriz (PCN) y Rodolfo Parker (PDC) reaccionaron a las decl full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 4205; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a8331a66a9e77891cccc95 El Salvador · 2018-08-05 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Un alto funcionario de la Casa Blanca negó hoy que Estados Unidos estuviera detrás del ataque con drones duran full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 3324; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a8319266a9e77891ccc7b3 El Salvador · 2018-08-09 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: US Air Force Estados Unidos inició la búsqueda de armas hipersónicas hace décadas, lo que fue seguido p full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 9490; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a6932166a9e77891c769ca El Salvador · 2018-08-14 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Una nueva ley de autorización de gastos de Defensa firmada por el presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 2891; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a6b12266a9e77891c7b328 El Salvador · 2018-07-15 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: negative → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: El presidente estadounidense, Donald Trump, culpó a su antecesor en el cargo, Barack Obama, por no actuar para full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 2553; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a6f7f966a9e77891c88e62 El Salvador · 2018-07-26 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Todas las prácticas de la Policía Nacional Civil (PNC) y de la Fuerza Armada de El Salvador (FAES) que se han full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 5408; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a71bca66a9e77891c90c44 El Salvador · 2018-07-28 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Militares de Estados Unidos (EUA) que participan en el ejercicio humanitario Más Allá del Horizonte 2018 entre full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 2194; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a7f56d66a9e77891cbff9e El Salvador · 2018-06-19 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Corea del Sur y EUA anunciaron hoy la suspensión temporal de sus maniobras militares previstas para agosto, un full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 5302; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 61a7333666a9e77891c95f09 El Salvador · 2016-12-08 laprensagrafica.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: military_and_dod; sentiment: neutral → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | Duplicate scrape of the same outlet and exact URL (apart from trailing whitespace), dated within one day. Every normalized character of the shorter body occurs in order in the longer body. Retain the shorter clean extraction; added text is subscription/related-story boilerplate. Selection does not depend on sentiment.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: El general retirado John Kelly, que durante tres años al frente de Comando Sur se familiarizó con Latinoaméric full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 4024; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Same outlet, exact trimmed URL, compatible publication dates and 100% in-order coverage of the shorter original text. The cleaner extraction is retained under a fixed content rule. Article |
| 60b45b9a02cb5910c5aca4c7 Senegal · 2020-01-15 ferloo.com | exclude_duplicate applied | relevance: Yes; event: foreign_policy; sentiment: positive → relevance: No; event: -999; sentiment: | RSS-feed wrapper of the same Ferloo article, same publication timestamp and canonical URL after removing /feed/. Retain the full article rather than its short feed excerpt.Evidence and scopetype: exact_original_substring; text: Les États-Unis et la Chine full_available_original_body_read: ; original_body_characters: 338; method: Automated full-body identity comparison and paired metadata/text inspection; not a semantic rereading of every duplicate body.; publisher_completeness_verified: Full article and feed excerpt were compared; identical lead, timestamp and canonical URL establish one publication. Article |
Full correction ledger · Ledger CSV · Application log · Cell reconciliation · Aggregation validation
What this allows the paper to claim next
The immediate estimands are changes in media attention and reported evaluation around specified policy stages. Country and outlet characteristics can explain heterogeneity only after their geography, timing and coverage are validated. A fresh validation sample and an event catalogue chosen independently of the observed peaks are the next steps toward confirmatory inference; the Methods tab specifies the proposed design.